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Live market summary

Below 39.9% is favored at 66% as of 22 Sep 2026, 02:05 UTC across 9 markets.

  • Below 39.9%: 66% (24h change 0%)
  • 39.9%: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.0%: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.1%: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.2%: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 40.5%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.3%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.4%: 1% (24h change 0%)
  • 40.5%: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?

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39.9%

15%
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About this market

Market question: Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?

Below 39.9% is favored at 66% as of 22 Sep 2026, 02:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?

Below 39.9%: 66%; 39.9%: 15%; 40.0%: 8%; 40.1%: 7%; 40.2%: 5%; Above 40.5%: 1%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.