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Active prediction markets, grouped by category

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2028 Democratic presidential nominee

48 options

16%

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

30 options

21%
-1%

2028 Republican presidential nominee

38 options

46%

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

3 options

23%

2028 Democratic VP nominee

45 options

11%

Will Trump be impeached?

3 options

67%

2028 Republican VP nominee

22 options

29%

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

38 options

90.1%

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

1 option

18%

2026: Trump's dream year?

1 option

1.8%
+0.5%

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

1 option

66%
+4%

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)

2 options

59%
+1%

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

32 options

21%

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

35 options

87%

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?

1 option

41%
-2%

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

21 options

30%
+11%

Will Trump resign during his term?

1 option

22%
-2%

Who will Trump pardon?

51 options

59%

Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?

1 option

7.1%
+1.2%

2028 Presidential matchup

16 options

12%
-1%

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

5 options

75%
+4%

2026: Trump's bad year?

1 option

4.2%
-3.2%

Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?

9 options

70%

Will Trump declare an election emergency?

1 option

18%

Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

1 option

15%