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Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor winner? (Person)·Dave Bronson·6%(-91.3%)CT-05 House winner?·Democratic party·78%(+74.9%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)·Above 125·8%(-73%)When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?·Before Oct 1, 2027·61%(+57%)2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?·Jordan Bardella·6%(-44%)Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?·Ending Jun 4, 2029·28%(-42%)How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?·Above 90·56%(+39%)FL-07 Republican nominee?·Sarah Ulrich·44%(+38%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Heidi Alexander·87%(+36%)Who will Trump pardon in 2026?·Nicole Daedone·62%(+35%)Will any state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?·Will any state enact a data center moratorium?·34%(+32%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·16%(-32%)Guatemalan Congressional election winner?·Vamos·32%(-30%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 58·28%(-28%)VA-01 Democratic nominee?·Salaam Bhatti·7%(-27%)
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Summary

Above 15 is favored at 72% as of 10 Jul 2026, 18:33 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 15: 72% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 20: 72% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 25: 59% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 30: 51% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 35: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 40: 23% (24h change 0%)
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