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Powered by KalshiCT-05 House winner?·Democratic party·78%(+74.9%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)·Above 125·8%(-73%)When will Ukraine hold a presidential election?·Before 2028·99%(+65%)When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?·Before Oct 1, 2027·61%(+57%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Jeffrey Vacirca·44%(-46%)2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?·Jordan Bardella·6%(-44%)FL-07 Republican nominee?·Sarah Ulrich·44%(+38%)South Carolina Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 1+ pts·57%(+38%)Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?·Heidi Alexander·87%(+36%)MO-04 Democratic nominee?·Jordan Herrera·16%(-32%)Guatemalan Congressional election winner?·Vamos·32%(-30%)Will crypto market structure legislation become law?·Before Oct 1, 2027·46%(-29%)Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?·Before August 1, 2026·6%(-28%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 58·28%(-28%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12)·Above 150·14%(-27%)
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Summary

Above 15 is favored at 72% as of 12 Jul 2026, 06:33 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 15: 72% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 20: 72% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 25: 59% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 30: 51% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 35: 36% (24h change +5%)
  • Above 40: 23% (24h change 0%)
presidential6 marketsLIVE

How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?

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Above 35

36%
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