Above 20 is favored at 99% as of 10 Oct 2026, 15:07 UTC across 9 markets.
- Above 20: 99% (24h change 0%)
- Above 25: 98% (24h change 0%)
- Above 35: 96% (24h change 0%)
- Above 30: 91% (24h change 0%)
- Above 40: 77% (24h change 0%)
- Above 45: 61% (24h change 0%)
- Above 50: 42% (24h change 0%)
- Above 55: 33% (24h change +1%)
- Above 60: 24% (24h change +2%)
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
Above 20 is favored at 99% as of 10 Oct 2026, 15:07 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
Above 20: 99%; Above 25: 98%; Above 35: 96%; Above 30: 91%; Above 40: 77%; Above 45: 61%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.