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Powered by KalshiWho will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Amir Ohana·1%(-94%)TN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·2.5%(-91.3%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 5-10%·98%(+89%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Recep Tayyip Erdoğan·99%(+77%)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/15-8/21)·At least 50·25%(-70%)Maine State Senate winner?·Republican party·88%(+68%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/10 - 8/16)·Above 200·97%(+66%)FL-04 Democratic nominee?·Michael Kirwan·73%(+63%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 55%·11%(-61%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 10%·14%(-56%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·85%(+53%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 35%·67%(+48%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 80%·17%(-47%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·John Brendan Williams·23%(-46%)Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?·Aaron Guckian·16%(-43%)
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Summary

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2027? is favored at 17% as of 18 Aug 2026, 05:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

  • Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2027?: 17% (24h change 0%)
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Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?

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