Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2027? is favored at 14% as of 2 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC across 1 market.
- Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2027?: 14% (24h change 0%)
Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?
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About this market
Market question: Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2027? is favored at 14% as of 2 Oct 2026, 03:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a new U.S. political party with Tucker Carlson as a founder, co-founder, or principal organizer files with the FEC or a state election authority as a political party or party committee before Jan 1, 2027?: 14%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.