Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is favored at 48% as of 5 Oct 2026, 17:40 UTC across 8 markets.
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 48% (24h change 0%)
- Ahmet Davutoğlu: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Ekrem İmamoğlu: 9.8% (24h change 0%)
- Mansur Yavaş: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Ali Babacan: 6.9% (24h change 0%)
- Sinan Oğan: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Ümit Özdağ: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Fatih Erbakan: 1% (24h change 0%)
Turkish presidential election winner?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Turkish presidential election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Turkish presidential election winner?
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is favored at 48% as of 5 Oct 2026, 17:40 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Turkish presidential election winner?
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 48%; Ahmet Davutoğlu: 11%; Ekrem İmamoğlu: 9.8%; Mansur Yavaş: 9%; Ali Babacan: 6.9%; Sinan Oğan: 5%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.