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Live market summary

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is favored at 48% as of 29 Sep 2026, 19:35 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 48% (24h change 0%)
  • Ekrem İmamoğlu: 15% (24h change 0%)
  • Ahmet Davutoğlu: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Mansur Yavaş: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Sinan Oğan: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Ümit Özdağ: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Fatih Erbakan: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Turkish presidential election winner?

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About this market

Market question: Turkish presidential election winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Turkish presidential election winner?

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is favored at 48% as of 29 Sep 2026, 19:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Turkish presidential election winner?

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 48%; Ekrem İmamoğlu: 15%; Ahmet Davutoğlu: 11%; Mansur Yavaş: 9%; Sinan Oğan: 5%; Ümit Özdağ: 4%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.