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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 20-30%·98%(+97%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Oliver Gilbert·99%(+92%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+91.6%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-91%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+91%)FL-06 Republican primary: Randy Fine vote percent·At least 70%·1%(-89%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Jim Schwartzel·99%(+88%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·97%(+88%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 25%·1%(-88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-88%)TN-06 House winner?·Mike Croley·9.5%(-84.3%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·99%(+81%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-81%)FL-02 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Green·99%(+80%)
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Summary

Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026? is favored at 42% as of 15 Aug 2026, 04:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

  • Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?: 42% (24h change 0%)
senate1 marketLIVE

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

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