Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026? is favored at 38% as of 3 Oct 2026, 15:06 UTC across 1 market.
- Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?: 38% (24h change +1%)
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate rac?
Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026? is favored at 38% as of 3 Oct 2026, 15:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate rac?
Will any independent or third-party candidate win an election in the U.S. House or Senate in 2026?: 38%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.