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Powered by KalshiAlaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Lesil McGuire·76%(+73%)Who will Russell Fry endorse in the South Carolina Senate race?·Darline Graham·99%(+72%)FL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, ≥50%·76%(+66%)Which states will Trump visit in 2026?·South Carolina·93%(+54%)WY-AL Republican nominee?·Kevin Christensen·51%(+50%)TN-05 House winner?·Chaz Molder·54%(+47.5%)New Jersey Senate margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·0.3%(-46.7%)Number of White House Press Briefings in Aug 2026?·At least 3·6%(-45%)When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?·Before Jul 1, 2027·87%(+44%)Victorian state election winner?·Liberals and Nationals·52%(-43%)Who will be the next Secretary General of NATO?·Mette Frederiksen·47%(+41%)Will Trump endorse Netanyahu?·Before Sep 1, 2026·15%(-40%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·Matthew Schultz·39%(-39%)New York's 17th District margin of victory·Republicans, 3+ pts·53%(+38%)Which bills will become law in 2026?·Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act·23%(-37%)
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Summary

Above 50 is favored at 41% as of 15 Aug 2026, 13:34 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 50: 41% (24h change +9%)
  • Above 58: 31% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 55: 30% (24h change -3%)
  • Above 60: 26% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 62: 17% (24h change -3%)
  • Above 66: 9% (24h change +1%)
  • Above 68: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 64: 7% (24h change 0%)
congressional8 marketsLIVE

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

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All options

Above 50

41%
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Above 55

30%
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Above 62

17%
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Above 66

9%
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