Election Odds Powered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiNY-07 House winner?·Melvin Rivera·0.8%(-97.8%)Will any state enact a 100% tax on Anti-Weaponization Fund payouts?·Will any state enact a 100% tax on Anti-Weaponization Fund payouts?·97%(+84%)New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?·John Sununu, ≥10%·11%(-77%)Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?·John Hickenlooper, ≥6%·25%(-66%)Will the Kids Online Safety Act become law?·Before 2027·22%(-65%)Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?·Before Jul 6, 2026·2%(-48%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·19%(-44%)WI-08 Democratic nominee?·Katrina DeVille·33%(-44%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Jarrett Keohokalole·71%(+41%)When will Jay Clayton be confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?·Before Aug 8, 2026·70%(+40%)MA-08 Democratic nominee?·Patrick Roath·80%(+39%)Colorado Republican Governor nominee?·Barbara Kirkmeyer·5.5%(-38.5%)New Supreme Court justice confirmed?·Before June 2027·47%(-38%)When will Anthropic restore Fable 5 access for US customers?·Before Jul 10, 2026·99%(+36%)South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)·Democratic party·43%(+32%)
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Live summary

Above 50 is favored at 97% as of 2 Jul 2026, 08:33 UTC across 8 markets. Live odds from Kalshi.

  • Above 50: 97% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 55: 93% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 58: 87% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 60: 66% (24h change -5%)
  • Above 62: 58% (24h change -11%)
  • Above 64: 38% (24h change +38%)
  • Above 68: 6% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 66: 0% (24h change 0%)
other8 marketsLIVE

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

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Above 62

58%
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Above 64

38%
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