Live market summary
Tom Cotton is favored at 93.1% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Tom Cotton: 93.1% (24h change -0.3%)
- Hallie Shoffner: 7.7% (24h change +1.9%)
About this market
Market question: Arkansas Senate winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Arkansas Senate winner?
Tom Cotton is favored at 93.1% as of 4 Oct 2026, 11:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Arkansas Senate winner?
Tom Cotton: 93.1%; Hallie Shoffner: 7.7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.