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Powered by KalshiFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?·Randy Fine, 5-10%·1%(-97%)Florida Democratic Senate nominee?·Angie Nixon·99.6%(+94.5%)FL-22 Republican primary: David Burck vote percent·At least 15%·99%(+94%)FL-24 Democratic nominee?·Shevrin Jones·1%(-92%)FL-06 Republican primary: Dan Bilzerian vote percent·At least 17.5%·99%(+91%)FL-19 Democratic nominee?·Howard Sapp·1%(-90%)FL-19 Republican nominee?·Catalina Lauf·0.1%(-89.9%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 12-16%·97%(+88%)FL-20 Democratic primary: Elijah Manley vote percent·At least 15%·1%(-88%)FL-27 Democratic nominee?·Eliott Rodriguez·99%(+87%)FL-12 Democratic nominee?·Darren McAuley·1%(-86%)FL-19 Republican primary: Catalina Lauf vote percent·At least 25%·1%(-82%)FL-15 Democratic nominee?·Chris Irizarry·2%(-81%)FL-02 Democratic nominee?·Amanda Green·99%(+80%)Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?·Heidi Overton·96%(+78%)
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Summary

Tom Cotton is favored at 94.5% as of 19 Aug 2026, 19:34 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Tom Cotton: 94.5% (24h change -2.5%)
  • Hallie Shoffner: 7.7% (24h change +3.7%)
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Arkansas Senate winner?

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Tom Cotton

94.5%
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Hallie Shoffner

7.7%
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