Powered by KalshiTrump late night post this week? (8/16-8/22)·3-4 AM·60%(+57%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 3·9%(-51%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Pennsylvania·98%(+50%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 47%·75%(+41%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 11+ pts·23%(-37%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·44%(+35%)Iowa Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 2+ pts·20%(-34%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·36%(+30.7%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Steve Witkoff·36%(-27%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Narendra Modi·12%(-27%)PA-01 House winner?·Brian Fitzpatrick·36%(-23%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·David Kustoff·2.1%(-22.9%)Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?·During Trump's term·21%(-22%)Will White House ballroom construction be halted?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that above-ground physical construction of the White House State Ballroom has been halted by an effective court order or other binding legal restriction before Aug 22, 2026?·1%(-22%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Rebeca Grynspan·43%(+22%)

Powered by KalshiTrump late night post this week? (8/16-8/22)·3-4 AM·60%(+57%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 3·9%(-51%)Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?·Pennsylvania·98%(+50%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Darline Graham vote percent·At least 47%·75%(+41%)Texas's 23rd District margin of victory·Republicans, 11+ pts·23%(-37%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Mary Peltola vote percent·At least 50%·44%(+35%)Iowa Senate margin of victory·Republicans, 2+ pts·20%(-34%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·36%(+30.7%)Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?·Steve Witkoff·36%(-27%)Who will Donald Trump talk to in Aug 2026?·Narendra Modi·12%(-27%)PA-01 House winner?·Brian Fitzpatrick·36%(-23%)Which member of Congress will have the biggest returns in 2025?·David Kustoff·2.1%(-22.9%)Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?·During Trump's term·21%(-22%)Will White House ballroom construction be halted?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that above-ground physical construction of the White House State Ballroom has been halted by an effective court order or other binding legal restriction before Aug 22, 2026?·1%(-22%)Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?·Rebeca Grynspan·43%(+22%)

Summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 87% as of 22 Aug 2026, 15:03 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

policy1 marketLIVE

Will the ABA lose its law school accreditation power?

Odds history

Loading chart

All options

Before Jan 1, 2027

87%

—

$36