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Live market summary

Above 5% is favored at 95% as of 12 Oct 2026, 09:34 UTC across 6 markets.

  • Above 5%: 95% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 10%: 88% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 15%: 65% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 20%: 36% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 25%: 18% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 30%: 9% (24h change 0%)
policy6 marketsLIVE

How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?

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About this market

Market question: How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?

Above 5% is favored at 95% as of 12 Oct 2026, 09:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for How much will ACA Marketplace enrollment decline in 2027?

Above 5%: 95%; Above 10%: 88%; Above 15%: 65%; Above 20%: 36%; Above 25%: 18%; Above 30%: 9%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.