Live market summary
Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 55% as of 14 Oct 2026, 17:36 UTC across 1 market.
- Before Jan 1, 2027: 55% (24h change -2%)
international1 marketLIVE
AfD in a German state government?
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About this market
Market question: AfD in a German state government?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in AfD in a German state government?
Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 55% as of 14 Oct 2026, 17:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for AfD in a German state government?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 55%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.