Bola Tinubu is favored at 24% as of 12 Sep 2026, 22:35 UTC across 10 markets.
- Bola Tinubu: 24% (24h change 0%)
- Félix Tshisekedi: 9.9% (24h change 0%)
- Cyril Ramaphosa: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Emmerson Mnangagwa: 9% (24h change 0%)
- Abdelmadjid Tebboune: 8.9% (24h change 0%)
- John Mahama: 8.9% (24h change 0%)
- Abdel Fattah el-Sisi: 8.7% (24h change 0%)
- Taye Atske Selassie: 4.5% (24h change 0%)
- William Ruto: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Paul Kagame: 2.1% (24h change 0%)
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Bola Tinubu is favored at 24% as of 12 Sep 2026, 22:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Bola Tinubu: 24%; Félix Tshisekedi: 9.9%; Cyril Ramaphosa: 9%; Emmerson Mnangagwa: 9%; Abdelmadjid Tebboune: 8.9%; John Mahama: 8.9%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.