Live market summary
Before Jan 1, 2029 is favored at 7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 03:34 UTC across 1 market.
- Before Jan 1, 2029: 7% (24h change +0.1%)
presidential1 marketLIVE
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
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About this market
Market question: Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
Before Jan 1, 2029 is favored at 7% as of 4 Oct 2026, 03:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 7%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.