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Live market summary

Javier Milei is favored at 61% as of 4 Oct 2026, 05:05 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Javier Milei: 61% (24h change 0%)
  • Axel Kicillof: 29% (24h change 0%)
  • Eduardo de Pedro: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Horacio Rodríguez Larreta: 7.9% (24h change 0%)
  • Sergio Massa: 5.3% (24h change 0%)
  • Patricia Bullrich: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Mauricio Macri: 4% (24h change 0%)
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Argentina presidential election winner?

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About this market

Market question: Argentina presidential election winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Argentina presidential election winner?

Javier Milei is favored at 61% as of 4 Oct 2026, 05:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Argentina presidential election winner?

Javier Milei: 61%; Axel Kicillof: 29%; Eduardo de Pedro: 8%; Horacio Rodríguez Larreta: 7.9%; Sergio Massa: 5.3%; Patricia Bullrich: 4%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.