Live market summary
Javier Milei is favored at 40% as of 6 Oct 2026, 16:05 UTC across 2 markets.
- Javier Milei: 40% (24h change 0%)
- Sergio Massa: 13% (24h change 0%)
presidential2 marketsLIVE
Argentina presidential election: first round winner?
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About this market
Market question: Argentina presidential election: first round winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Argentina presidential election: first round winner?
Javier Milei is favored at 40% as of 6 Oct 2026, 16:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Argentina presidential election: first round winner?
Javier Milei: 40%; Sergio Massa: 13%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.