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Live market summary

Anthony Albanese is favored at 35% as of 4 Oct 2026, 05:04 UTC across 6 markets.

  • Anthony Albanese: 35% (24h change 0%)
  • Pauline Hanson: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Jim Chalmers: 9% (24h change 0%)
  • Jane Hume: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Richard Marles: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Andrew Hastie: 8% (24h change 0%)
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Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

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About this market

Market question: Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Anthony Albanese is favored at 35% as of 4 Oct 2026, 05:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Anthony Albanese: 35%; Pauline Hanson: 20%; Jim Chalmers: 9%; Jane Hume: 8%; Richard Marles: 8%; Andrew Hastie: 8%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.