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Live market summary

Above 150 is favored at 92% as of 17 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC across 7 markets.

  • Above 150: 92% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 160: 87% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 180: 59% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 185: 43% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 190: 41% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 205: 19% (24h change 0%)
  • Above 210: 17% (24h change 0%)
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Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

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About this market

Market question: Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)?

Above 150 is favored at 92% as of 17 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)?

Above 150: 92%; Above 160: 87%; Above 180: 59%; Above 185: 43%; Above 190: 41%; Above 205: 19%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.