Live market summary
AfD is favored at 99% as of 21 Sep 2026, 10:05 UTC across 7 markets.
- AfD: 99% (24h change +34%)
- Die Linke: 10% (24h change 0%)
- SPD: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Grüne: 3% (24h change -9%)
- CDU: 2% (24h change -16%)
- BSW: 2% (24h change +1%)
- FDP: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Berlin State Election: 3rd Place
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About this market
Market question: Berlin State Election: 3rd Place
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
AfD is favored at 99% as of 21 Sep 2026, 10:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
AfD: 99%; Die Linke: 10%; SPD: 8%; Grüne: 3%; CDU: 2%; BSW: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.