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Powered by KalshiHow many Trump-endorsed candidates will lose their primaries?·10·88%(+73%)Trump late night post this week? (7/26-8/1)·5-6 AM·99%(+68%)Who will be confirmed by the Senate before the August recess?·Brett Matsumoto·78%(+62%)Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (7/20 - 7/26)·July 20·80%(+60%)MO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Wesley Bell, 6-9%·11%(-60%)MI-07 House winner?·Democratic party·27%(-46%)NRCC Cash on Hand (End of Q3)·Above $75M·46%(-43%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·60%(+41%)Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?·Before Jan 1, 2027·41%(-39%)Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)·Above $30M·83%(+36%)KS-04 Democratic nominee?·Chris Carmichael·24%(-35%)Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)·Nick Begich III·75%(+34%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 40·45%(-33%)Greater Manchester mayoral election: 2nd place·Reform UK·88%(+33%)Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?·Ron DeSantis·60%(+32%)
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Summary

Before Apr 1, 2027 is favored at 90% as of 26 Jul 2026, 22:34 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Apr 1, 2027: 90% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 88% (24h change +1%)
  • Before Oct 1, 2026: 5% (24h change 0%)
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