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Summary

Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 54% as of 16 Aug 2026, 14:04 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Jan 1, 2028: 54% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 17% (24h change 0%)
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Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

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