Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3% is favored at 57% as of 6 Oct 2026, 05:35 UTC across 8 markets.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%: 57% (24h change 0%)
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%: 30% (24h change 0%)
- Lula da Silva, 0-3%: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Lula da Silva, 6-9%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Lula da Silva, 3-6%: 2% (24h change 0%)
- Lula da Silva, ≥9%: 1% (24h change 0%)
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory?
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3% is favored at 57% as of 6 Oct 2026, 05:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory?
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%: 57%; Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%: 30%; Lula da Silva, 0-3%: 11%; Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%: 7%; Lula da Silva, 6-9%: 2%; Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.