Lula da Silva, ≥1% is favored at 11% as of 7 Oct 2026, 06:37 UTC across 3 markets.
- Lula da Silva, ≥1%: 11% (24h change 0%)
- Lula da Silva, ≥7%: 5% (24h change 0%)
- Lula da Silva, ≥9%: 4% (24h change 0%)
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory?
Lula da Silva, ≥1% is favored at 11% as of 7 Oct 2026, 06:37 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory?
Lula da Silva, ≥1%: 11%; Lula da Silva, ≥7%: 5%; Lula da Silva, ≥9%: 4%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.