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Live market summary

Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 45% as of 4 Sep 2026, 09:33 UTC across 5 markets.

  • Before Jan 1, 2028: 45% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Oct 1, 2027: 20% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jul 1, 2027: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Apr 1, 2027: 8% (24h change 0%)
  • Before Jan 1, 2027: 3% (24h change 0%)
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Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?

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How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

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Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?

Before Jan 1, 2028 is favored at 45% as of 4 Sep 2026, 09:33 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?

Before Jan 1, 2028: 45%; Before Oct 1, 2027: 20%; Before Jul 1, 2027: 14%; Before Apr 1, 2027: 8%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 3%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.