Before Jan 2027 is favored at 65% as of 5 Oct 2026, 06:04 UTC across 3 markets.
- Before Jan 2027: 65% (24h change 0%)
- Before Dec 2026: 52% (24h change 0%)
- Before Nov 2026: 28% (24h change +2%)
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
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About this market
Market question: When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Before Jan 2027 is favored at 65% as of 5 Oct 2026, 06:04 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Before Jan 2027: 65%; Before Dec 2026: 52%; Before Nov 2026: 28%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.