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Live market summary

Kyle Campbell is favored at 99% as of 18 Sep 2026, 22:36 UTC across 4 markets.

  • Kyle Campbell: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • John Roggeveen: 3% (24h change 0%)
  • Kyle Joseph: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Mike Derry: 1% (24h change 0%)
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Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election winner?

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About this market

Market question: Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election winner?

How to read these odds

Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.

Market odds FAQ

Who is favored in Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election winner?

Kyle Campbell is favored at 99% as of 18 Sep 2026, 22:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.

What are the current odds for Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election winner?

Kyle Campbell: 99%; John Roggeveen: 3%; Kyle Joseph: 2%; Mike Derry: 1%. These are live market prices.

Where do these odds come from?

Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.