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Powered by KalshiFlorida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 36+ pts·96%(+90%)HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?·Ed Case, ≥15%·99%(+90%)How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?·10·9%(-88%)WA-08 primary: who will advance?·Spencer Meline·99%(+75%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·69%(+61%)NC-11 Republican nominee on Aug 11, 2026?·Jennifer Balkcom·74%(+61%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary: Russell Fry vote percent (1st Round)·At least 35%·64%(+59%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Ed Case·99.9%(+57.9%)AK-AL primary: Who will advance?·Matthew Schultz·35%(-53%)Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?·Sonia Sotomayor·8%(-51%)HI-01 Democratic nominee?·Jarrett Keohokalole·1%(-50%)When will the UK's social media ban take effect?·Before Aug 1, 2027·34%(-44%)Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?·Tally Gotliv·55%(+43%)Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?·Adam Crum·47%(+40.5%)How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?·At least 7·14%(-38%)
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Summary

Before Jan 20, 2029 is favored at 53% as of 10 Aug 2026, 03:04 UTC across 3 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Before Jan 20, 2029: 53% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 2028: 35% (24h change 0%)
  • Before 2027: 9% (24h change -3%)
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