Live market summary
Before Nov 1, 2026 is favored at 38% as of 10 Sep 2026, 20:06 UTC across 2 markets.
- Before Nov 1, 2026: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Before Oct 1, 2026: 23% (24h change 0%)
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When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
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About this market
Market question: When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
Before Nov 1, 2026 is favored at 38% as of 10 Sep 2026, 20:06 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
Before Nov 1, 2026: 38%; Before Oct 1, 2026: 23%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.