Liberal Party is favored at 54% as of 29 Jul 2026, 18:03 UTC across 3 markets.
- Liberal Party: 54% (24h change 0%)
- Conservative Party: 42% (24h change 0%)
- New Democratic Party: 6% (24h change 0%)
Next Canadian federal election winner?
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About this market
Market question: Next Canadian federal election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Next Canadian federal election winner?
Liberal Party is favored at 54% as of 29 Jul 2026, 18:03 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Next Canadian federal election winner?
Liberal Party: 54%; Conservative Party: 42%; New Democratic Party: 6%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.