Before Nov 1, 2026 is favored at 58% as of 20 Sep 2026, 18:05 UTC across 4 markets.
- Before Nov 1, 2026: 58% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2027: 20% (24h change 0%)
- Before Dec 1, 2026: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Before Oct 1, 2026: 1% (24h change 0%)
When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
Before Nov 1, 2026 is favored at 58% as of 20 Sep 2026, 18:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
Before Nov 1, 2026: 58%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 20%; Before Dec 1, 2026: 8%; Before Oct 1, 2026: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.