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RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)
·
Above 120 million
·
4%
(-85%)
How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided?
·
Special convention
·
96%
(+72%)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic (7/6 - 7/12)
·
July 7
·
75%
(+61%)
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
·
Rahm Emanuel
·
77%
(+56%)
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
·
Lula da Silva, ≥15%
·
47%
(+44%)
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?
·
Ronaldo Caiado
·
6%
(-43%)
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
·
40.2 to 40.4
·
3%
(-36%)
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
54%
(-35%)
FL-25 Republican nominee?
·
George Moraitis
·
50%
(+34%)
Who will Trump pardon?
·
Jho Low
·
61%
(+32%)
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
·
Above 58
·
56%
(-31%)
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
29%
(-28%)
Which bills will become law in 2026?
·
Surface transportation reauthorization
·
45%
(+26%)
Will Graham Platner endorse a successor in Jul 2026?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
49%
(-25%)
FL-07 Republican nominee?
·
Cory Mills
·
62%
(-24%)
Powered by
Kalshi
RNC Cash on Hand (End of Q2)
·
Above 120 million
·
4%
(-85%)
How will the Maine Democratic Senate nomination be decided?
·
Special convention
·
96%
(+72%)
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic (7/6 - 7/12)
·
July 7
·
75%
(+61%)
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
·
Rahm Emanuel
·
77%
(+56%)
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
·
Lula da Silva, ≥15%
·
47%
(+44%)
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?
·
Ronaldo Caiado
·
6%
(-43%)
Trump's approval rating on Jul 10, 2026?
·
40.2 to 40.4
·
3%
(-36%)
Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?
·
Before Sep 1, 2026
·
54%
(-35%)
FL-25 Republican nominee?
·
George Moraitis
·
50%
(+34%)
Who will Trump pardon?
·
Jho Low
·
61%
(+32%)
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
·
Above 58
·
56%
(-31%)
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
29%
(-28%)
Which bills will become law in 2026?
·
Surface transportation reauthorization
·
45%
(+26%)
Will Graham Platner endorse a successor in Jul 2026?
·
Before Aug 1, 2026
·
49%
(-25%)
FL-07 Republican nominee?
·
Cory Mills
·
62%
(-24%)
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Cape Verde presidential election winner?
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Summary
MpD
is favored at
34%
as of 9 Jul 2026, 13:03 UTC across 2 markets. Kalshi odds.
MpD: 34% (24h change 0%)
UCID: 5% (24h change 0%)
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Cape Verde presidential election winner?
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MpD
34
%
—
$171
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UCID
5
%
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$1
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