Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 12, 2026?·39.2·99%(+97%)Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?·Francesca Hong·0.1%(-94.8%)Minnesota Senate Democratic primary: Angie Craig vote percent·At least 42%·1%(-92%)MN-03 Republican nominee?·Quentin Wittrock·1%(-88%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·98%(+87%)Florida's 18th District margin of victory·Republicans, 28+ pts·97.6%(+83.6%)Minnesota Senate Democratic primary: Peggy Flanagan vote percent·At least 57%·99%(+80%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)·Darline Graham, 5-10%·99%(+76%)MN-05 Republican nominee?·Dalia Al-Aqidi·1%(-74%)Alaska House winner?·Bill Hill·94%(+70%)Will El-Sayed, Flanagan, and Hong win their primaries?·Will progressives sweep key midwest primaries?·2%(-70%)Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory·Republicans, 5+ pts·4.3%(-67.7%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/10 - 8/16)·Above 225·10%(-67%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·85%(+66%)CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent·At least 34%·2%(-66%)

Powered by KalshiTrump's approval rating on Aug 12, 2026?·39.2·99%(+97%)Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?·Francesca Hong·0.1%(-94.8%)Minnesota Senate Democratic primary: Angie Craig vote percent·At least 42%·1%(-92%)MN-03 Republican nominee?·Quentin Wittrock·1%(-88%)Who will be arrested in 2026?·Lee Jun-seok·98%(+87%)Florida's 18th District margin of victory·Republicans, 28+ pts·97.6%(+83.6%)Minnesota Senate Democratic primary: Peggy Flanagan vote percent·At least 57%·99%(+80%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)·Darline Graham, 5-10%·99%(+76%)MN-05 Republican nominee?·Dalia Al-Aqidi·1%(-74%)Alaska House winner?·Bill Hill·94%(+70%)Will El-Sayed, Flanagan, and Hong win their primaries?·Will progressives sweep key midwest primaries?·2%(-70%)Tennessee's 5th District margin of victory·Republicans, 5+ pts·4.3%(-67.7%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/10 - 8/16)·Above 225·10%(-67%)Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?·85%(+66%)CT-01 Democratic primary: John Larson vote percent·At least 34%·2%(-66%)

Summary

Before Jan 1, 2027 is favored at 7% as of 12 Aug 2026, 15:34 UTC across 1 market. Kalshi odds.

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Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026?

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Before Jan 1, 2027

7%

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$10