Sara Hernandez is favored at 81% as of 12 Aug 2026, 22:34 UTC across 8 markets.
- Sara Hernandez: 81% (24h change 0%)
- Sarah Rascón: 19% (24h change 0%)
- Sang Masog: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Claudia Agraz: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Maebe Pudlo: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Paul A. Bowers: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Juan Camacho: 1% (24h change 0%)
- Wendy Carrillo: 1% (24h change 0%)
California State Senate District 26 election winner
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: California State Senate District 26 election winner
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California State Senate District 26 election winner?
Sara Hernandez is favored at 81% as of 12 Aug 2026, 22:34 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California State Senate District 26 election winner?
Sara Hernandez: 81%; Sarah Rascón: 19%; Sang Masog: 1%; Claudia Agraz: 1%; Maebe Pudlo: 1%; Paul A. Bowers: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.