Live market summary
Yes, ≥16% is favored at 7% as of 22 Sep 2026, 22:05 UTC across 3 markets.
- Yes, ≥16%: 7% (24h change 0%)
- Yes, ≥19%: 3% (24h change 0%)
- Yes, ≥22%: 1% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)?
Yes, ≥16% is favored at 7% as of 22 Sep 2026, 22:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)?
Yes, ≥16%: 7%; Yes, ≥19%: 3%; Yes, ≥22%: 1%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.