Live market summary
Before 2030 is favored at 17% as of 29 Sep 2026, 04:35 UTC across 4 markets.
- Before 2030: 17% (24h change 0%)
- Before 2029: 8% (24h change 0%)
- Before 2028: 4% (24h change 0%)
- Before 2027: 2% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Will China abolish hukou?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will China abolish hukou?
Before 2030 is favored at 17% as of 29 Sep 2026, 04:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will China abolish hukou?
Before 2030: 17%; Before 2029: 8%; Before 2028: 4%; Before 2027: 2%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.