ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWhich Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?·Bill Cassidy·90%(+63%)When will Todd Blanche be confirmed?·Before Sep 1, 2026·79%(+61%)Ken Martin out as DNC chair?·Before Sep 1, 2026·8%(-58%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Cleitinho Azevedo·9%(-54%)TN-07 Democratic nominee?·Darden Copeland·15%(-52%)Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)·5-6 AM·24%(-52%)VA-01 Democratic nominee?·Jason Knapp·6%(-52%)Will DOJ formally eliminate the Anti-Weaponization Fund?·Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Department of Justice formally terminates the Anti-Weaponization Fund through a legally operative written instrument before Jan 1, 2027?·99%(+50%)Will Todd Blanche’s AG nomination advance from committee?·Before Sep 1, 2026·96%(+48%)Wisconsin Attorney General winner?·Republican party·58%(+44%)How many people will Trump pardon in Aug 2026?·0·77%(+42%)Will Todd Blanche's nomination be withdrawn?·Before Jan 1, 2027·5%(-41%)How many Senators will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?·Above 49·91%(+40%)How many days will the first FY2027 funding measure cover?·At least 70 days·76%(+40%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 32+ pts·46%(+38.5%)
Back
Summary

Above $1M is favored at 99% as of 2 Aug 2026, 16:03 UTC across 8 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above $1M: 99% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $10M: 40% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $100M: 37% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $50M: 33% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $2B: 10% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $4B: 5% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $6B: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Above $1B: 1% (24h change 0%)
policy8 marketsLIVE

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

Trade ↗

All options