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Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+93%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?·39.2·99%(+68%)MI-13 House winner?·T.P. Nykoriak·5.7%(-56.3%)Alaska U.S. Senate primary: Dan S. Sullivan vote percent·At least 45%·2%(-56%)Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?·Delcy Rodríguez·40%(-55%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Alaska Senate: who will advance?·Gerald Heikes·4%(-47%)Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?·Alina Habba·7.9%(-39.1%)FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?·Ryan Elijah, 8-12%·1%(-39%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·45%(-38%)Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?·Before Oct 1, 2026·34%(-38%)FL-23 Democratic primary: Lois Frankel vote percent·At least 75%·2%(-38%)When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?·Before Sep 8, 2026·43%(-36%)What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?·Qatar·72%(+34%)Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration·$47.5 trillion·64%(+33%)
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Summary

$40 trillion is favored at 97.3% as of 20 Aug 2026, 06:03 UTC across 6 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • $40 trillion: 97.3% (24h change -2.6%)
  • $42.5 trillion: 96% (24h change -2%)
  • $45 trillion: 90% (24h change +7%)
  • $47.5 trillion: 64% (24h change +33%)
  • $50 trillion: 34% (24h change -7%)
  • $52.5 trillion: 17% (24h change -8%)
policy6 marketsLIVE

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration

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$40 trillion

97.3%
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$45 trillion

90%
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$50 trillion

34%
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