Before Jul 1, 2027 is favored at 59% as of 16 Oct 2026, 23:36 UTC across 2 markets.
- Before Jul 1, 2027: 59% (24h change 0%)
- Before Jan 1, 2027: 20% (24h change +1%)
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
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About this market
Market question: Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
Before Jul 1, 2027 is favored at 59% as of 16 Oct 2026, 23:36 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 59%; Before Jan 1, 2027: 20%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.