Wisconsin is favored at 92% as of 23 Oct 2026, 04:38 UTC across 8 markets.
- Wisconsin: 92% (24h change +1%)
- Minnesota: 88% (24h change 0%)
- Michigan: 80% (24h change 0%)
- Oregon: 75% (24h change 0%)
- Arizona: 71% (24h change 0%)
- Pennsylvania: 65% (24h change 0%)
- Nevada: 53% (24h change +1%)
- Vermont: 30% (24h change 0%)
Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
Trade ↗Odds history
About this market
Market question: Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
Wisconsin is favored at 92% as of 23 Oct 2026, 04:38 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
Wisconsin: 92%; Minnesota: 88%; Michigan: 80%; Oregon: 75%; Arizona: 71%; Pennsylvania: 65%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.