Above 4% is favored at 85% as of 17 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC across 6 markets.
- Above 4%: 85% (24h change 0%)
- Above 5%: 75% (24h change 0%)
- Above 6%: 67% (24h change 0%)
- Above 7%: 60% (24h change 0%)
- Above 8%: 50% (24h change 0%)
- Above 10%: 23% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?
Above 4% is favored at 85% as of 17 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?
Above 4%: 85%; Above 5%: 75%; Above 6%: 67%; Above 7%: 60%; Above 8%: 50%; Above 10%: 23%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.