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Powered by KalshiAlaska Senate primary: Dan J. Sullivan vote percent (1st Round)·At least 4%·96%(+94%)Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Aug 21, 2026?·James Talarico·2%(-74%)When will Trump release more UFO files?·Before Sep 25, 2026·18%(-61%)Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/14-8/21)?·Above 38.7%·2%(-57%)South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff: voter turnout·Above 325k·17%(-53%)When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?·Before Nov 1, 2026·71%(+51%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?·39.2·1%(-43%)Trump's approval rating on Aug 21, 2026?·39.1 to 39.3·6%(-42%)How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)·At least 5·7%(-41%)What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?·Republican National Committee v. Eakin·52%(+40%)US test scores in Reading in 2026?·No significant difference·51%(+38%)FL-14 House winner?·Mike Beltran·39%(-36%)South Carolina Republican Senate runoff: Ralph Norman vote percent·At least 53%·50%(+36%)Who will Trump pardon?·Jared Kushner·5.3%(-35.7%)How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (8/16 - 8/22)·Above 0·29%(-34%)
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Summary

Above 52 is favored at 22% as of 21 Aug 2026, 00:03 UTC across 10 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Above 52: 22% (24h change 0%)
  • 51: 16% (24h change 0%)
  • 50: 14% (24h change 0%)
  • 49: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • 52: 13% (24h change 0%)
  • 48: 12% (24h change 0%)
  • Below 45: 7.2% (24h change -0.2%)
  • 47: 7% (24h change 0%)
  • 46: 3.7% (24h change +0.6%)
  • 45: 2.1% (24h change -0.8%)
senate10 marketsLIVE

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

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All options

51

16%
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50

14%
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49

13%
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52

13%
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48

12%
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Below 45

7.2%
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47

7%
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46

3.7%
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45

2.1%
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