ElectionOddsPowered by Kalshi
Powered by KalshiWill a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Aug 2026?·Will any member of Congress be out as any member of Congress in Aug 2026?·95%(+79%)Minas Gerais Governor winner?·Cleitinho Azevedo·4%(-66%)Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?·Before Sep 1, 2026·31%(-66%)Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 15·13%(-58%)Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (July 2026)·At least 80·58%(+57%)Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (7/27 - 8/2)·Above 250·67%(+56%)WA-05 primary: who will advance?·Nate Powell·84%(+56%)Malaysian general election winner?·BN-anchored coalition·41%(-53.2%)VA-01 Democratic nominee?·Jason Knapp·6%(-52%)TN-06 Democratic nominee?·Chaney Mosley·85%(+50%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 55·21%(-48%)Trump late night post this week? (8/2-8/8)·3-4 AM·17%(-48%)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)·Above 50·47%(-45%)Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/3 - 8/9)·Above 200·98%(+42%)Virginia's 11th District margin of victory·Democrats, 32+ pts·46%(+38.5%)
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Summary

Ülle Madise is favored at 57% as of 4 Aug 2026, 18:03 UTC across 11 markets. Kalshi odds.

  • Ülle Madise: 57% (24h change 0%)
  • Maive Rute: 11% (24h change 0%)
  • Hannes Hanso: 4% (24h change 0%)
  • Urmas Paet: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Riho Ühtegi: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Indrek Laul: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Kersti Kaljulaid: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Jonatan Vseviov: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Matti Maasikas: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Indrek Tarand: 2% (24h change 0%)
  • Mart Helme: 2% (24h change 0%)
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