Powered by KalshiCA-24 primary: first place·Salud Carbajal·99%(+99%)CA-26 primary: first place·Jacqui Irwin·99%(+99%)CA-50 primary: first place·Scott Peters·99%(+99%)NY-25 Democratic nominee?·Joseph D Morelle·99%(+99%)Maine Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 100k·99%(+99%)CA-46 primary: first place·Lou Correa·98%(+98%)FL-20 Republican nominee?·Rod Joseph·98%(+98%)FL-28 Democratic nominee?·Phil Ehr·98%(+98%)MI-04 Democratic nominee?·Sean McCann·98%(+98%)Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?·Mike Collins, 10-15%·98%(+98%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 50·97%(+97%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jun 2026?·At least 5·96%(+96%)NY-19 Republican nominee?·Peter K Oberacker·96%(+96%)Florida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·95%(+95%)FL-26 Democratic nominee?·Nicole Locklin·94%(+94%)

Powered by KalshiCA-24 primary: first place·Salud Carbajal·99%(+99%)CA-26 primary: first place·Jacqui Irwin·99%(+99%)CA-50 primary: first place·Scott Peters·99%(+99%)NY-25 Democratic nominee?·Joseph D Morelle·99%(+99%)Maine Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout·Above 100k·99%(+99%)CA-46 primary: first place·Lou Correa·98%(+98%)FL-20 Republican nominee?·Rod Joseph·98%(+98%)FL-28 Democratic nominee?·Phil Ehr·98%(+98%)MI-04 Democratic nominee?·Sean McCann·98%(+98%)Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?·Mike Collins, 10-15%·98%(+98%)How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?·Above 50·97%(+97%)How many federal judges will be confirmed in Jun 2026?·At least 5·96%(+96%)NY-19 Republican nominee?·Peter K Oberacker·96%(+96%)Florida's 10th District margin of victory·Democrats, 21+ pts·95%(+95%)FL-26 Democratic nominee?·Nicole Locklin·94%(+94%)

other3 marketsLIVE

Will the United Kingdom join the EU?

Odds history

Loading chart data...

All options

By Dec 31, 2039

63%

—

91

By Dec 31, 2031

23%

—

242

By Dec 31, 2034

18%

—

82