Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale is favored at 38% as of 15 Sep 2026, 01:35 UTC across 3 markets.
- Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale: 38% (24h change 0%)
- Alec Latu: 22% (24h change 0%)
- Patea: 3% (24h change 0%)
About this market
Market question: Falealili 1 by-election winner?
How to read these odds
Each percentage is the latest traded Kalshi price for that option. A 62% contract price implies a 62% market-estimated chance, but prediction markets can move quickly and are not polls.
Market odds FAQ
Who is favored in Falealili 1 by-election winner?
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale is favored at 38% as of 15 Sep 2026, 01:35 UTC, based on live Kalshi prediction-market prices.
What are the current odds for Falealili 1 by-election winner?
Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale: 38%; Alec Latu: 22%; Patea: 3%. These are live market prices.
Where do these odds come from?
Each probability is a traded price from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% market-estimated chance. ElectionOdds displays the data and does not create its own forecast.