Question 1

Who is favored in Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?

Accepted Answer

Will the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announce a decision to schedule fewer than eight regular FOMC monetary-policy meetings in a calendar year as a change to the Committee’s meeting cadence before Jan 1, 2027? is favored at 36% as of 1 Aug 2026, 11:33 UTC, based on Kalshi prediction-market prices.

Question 2

What are the odds for Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?

Accepted Answer

Will the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announce a decision to schedule fewer than eight regular FOMC monetary-policy meetings in a calendar year as a change to the Committee’s meeting cadence before Jan 1, 2027?: 36%.

Question 3

Where do these odds come from?

Accepted Answer

Each probability is the most recent traded price on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange. A contract trading at 62¢ implies a 62% chance of that outcome.

Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?

Odds history

All options